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Will Bihar say ‘Tejashwi Bhava’? Mahagathbandhan’s latest election gamble explained

Will Bihar say 'Tejashwi Bhava'? Mahagathbandhan's latest election gamble explained

NEW DELHI: After weeks of uncertainty, the Mahagathbandhan has finally placed its bet on Tejashwi Yadav, naming him as its chief ministerial face for the upcoming Bihar assembly elections. At 36, Tejashwi is now the youngest contender for the state’s top post.By choosing him, the Mahagathbandhan hopes to consolidate its traditional Muslim-Yadav (M-Y) base, while projecting a sharper, youth-driven alternative to the ruling NDA, led by an aging Nitish Kumar.The announcement follows weeks of internal wrangling over seat-sharing and alliance fatigue, with Hemant Soren’s JMM eventually deciding to opt out of the Bihar contest.With Nitish battling anti-incumbency and uncertainty over the NDA’s CM face, the move may boost the Mahagathbandhan’s chances, but will it be enough?

THE ADVANTAGES

Mobilising the M-Y core

Naming Tejashwi as the CM face is expected to energise the Mahagathbandhan’s core support base – the Yadav community (around 14%) and Muslims (about 18%) – by giving them a clear identity and emotional rallying point. The clarity ends speculation and unites these large voting blocs at a time when Prashant Kishor and Owaisi-led fronts threaten to split the vote.

NDA’s indecision over CM face

With the NDA yet to declare its chief ministerial candidate, especially when Nitish Kumar faces voter fatigue after 20 years in power, the Mahagathbandhan’s move looks decisive. It projects Tejashwi as the clear alternative, potentially attracting voters weary of Nitish’s flip-flops and suspicious of a possible BJP post-poll shift.

The age factor

At 36, Tejashwi stands in stark contrast to the 73-year-old Nitish Kumar, creating a generational divide that could resonate with Bihar’s youth-heavy electorate. His emphasis on jobs, development, and social justice could appeal to voters seeking a break from the status quo, particularly as the opposition questions Nitish’s health and energy.the Election Commission had said the state has 14.01 lakh first-time voters aged 18 to 19 years old. There are also 1.63 crore voters aged 20-29.

THE RISKS

OBC backlash

Projecting a Yadav face so prominently risks alienating other sizeable OBC groups – Kurmis, Koeris, and non-Yadav EBCs — whose support is crucial. Discomfort among these communities is evident in recent defections and unease within regional allies.The NDA, meanwhile, is positioning itself as the platform of “inclusive backward caste empowerment,” fielding a higher share of non-Yadav OBC candidates.Tejashwi’s party has fielded 77 OBC candidates, however, a majority of 53 of them are Yadavs, indicating the party’s strong base among that community.

The ‘Jungle Raj’ reminder

The NDA continues to brandish its most potent weapon – the “Jungle Raj” charge, invoking memories of the 1990s Lalu-era lawlessness. The narrative resonates with urban, upper-caste, and first-time voters who view that period unfavourably.As Tejashwi’s name was announced, PM Modi briefed BJP workers in Bihar to “remind the youth what the Lalu era meant for Bihar,” signalling that the BJP intends to keep the past front and centre.

Too little, too late?

The delayed consensus, after weeks of infighting, allowed the NDA to dominate the narrative through much of the campaign. The timing may blunt the momentum Tejashwi built during his Bihar Adhikar Yatra, just as the Congress’s Voter Adhikar Yatra began losing steam.The Mahagathbandhan now plans joint rallies featuring Tejashwi and Rahul Gandhi – but whether that will be enough to regain ground remains to be seen. Go to Source

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