Experts believe the US-Iran situation is entering a highly sensitive phase, especially after reports of a military strike near Bandar Abbas and rising tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. According to defence analysts, the United States has drawn two clear red lines: unrestricted civilian and commercial movement through the Strait of Hormuz without any “toll” or additional charges, and the complete dismantling of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile. Washington insists that Iran cannot be allowed to advance its nuclear weapons capability. Military experts suggest that Iran’s attempt to impose “environmental taxes” or restrictions on shipping routes is unacceptable to the US, which considers the Strait of Hormuz an international waterway. At the same time, negotiations remain stuck over the fate of Iran’s uranium reserves, particularly highly enriched material under international concern. Despite recent clashes and retaliatory strikes, defence officials believe there is still a possibility of a diplomatic settlement. However, both sides remain firm on core demands, making the outcome uncertain. Some experts view the recent escalation as a warning rather than a full-scale war trigger, though the risk of broader conflict remains high if talks collapse completely.


