Thursday, August 13, 2026
29 C
New Delhi

How a drought that began in 2000 became the West’s worst in 1,200 years

I  2000, d ought bega  g ippi g the Ame ica  West. By 2021, t ee  i gs showed its d iest 22-yea  pe iod i  1,200 yea s

The
Ame ica
West
did
ot
sudde ly
u
out
of
wate ,
the
c isis
built
slowly.
A ou d
2000,
a
p olo ged
d ought
bega
sp eadi g
ac oss
the
egio ,
with
d y
co ditio s
etu i g
yea
afte
yea
a d
leavi g
less
moistu e
i
the
g ou d.
Rese voi s
fell,
vegetatio
st uggled
a d
the
effects
of
each
d y
seaso
bega
addi g
to
the
losses
of
the
o e
befo e
it.
As
epo ted
i
the
Wo ld
Eco omic
Fo um,
by
2021,
what
had
sta ted
as
a
lo g
d y
spell
had
become
the
d iest
22-yea
pe iod
i
at
least
1,200
yea s,
acco di g
to
climate
eco ds
eco st ucted
f om
t ee
i gs.
But
the e
was
a othe
facto
maki g
the
d ought
ha de
to
escape.Tempe atu es
we e
isi g,
causi g
wate
to
evapo ate
faste
f om
soil
a d
pla ts.
Repo tedly,
esea ch
estimated
that
huma -caused
wa mi g
accou ted
fo
about
42%
of
the
soil-moistu e
deficit
betwee
2000
a d
2021,
tu i g
a
al eady
se ious
d ought
i to
a
much
deepe
wate
c isis
ac oss
the
West.

Weste
US
d ought
eaches
a
1,200-yea
low,
t ee
i gs
eveal

The
cu e t
d y
pe iod
bega
a ou d
2000,
acco di g
to
climate
eco st uctio s
based
pa tly
o
t ee
i gs.
T ees
eco d
cha ges
i
the
amou t
of
moistu e
available
to
them
th ough
the
width
a d
de sity
of
thei
a ual
g owth
i gs.

By
exami i g
these
eco ds
ac oss
pa ts
of
the
weste
US,
scie tists
have
bee
able
to
exte d
the
pictu e
of
d ought
well
beyo d
the
pe iod
cove ed
by
mode
weathe
i st ume ts.The
evide ce
placed
the
ea ly
2000s
withi
a
u usually
d y
st etch.
Whe
the
yea s
f om
2000
to
2018
we e
assessed,
the
pe iod
a ked
as
the
seco d-d iest
compa able
i te val
i
the
eco st ucted
eco d,
behi d
a
seve e
megad ought
du i g
the
late
1500s.Rai fall
b iefly
imp oved
i
2019,
aisi g
the
possibility
that
the
p olo ged
d y
spell
was
easi g.
It
did
ot
last.
D ie
co ditio s
etu ed,
a d
the
followi g
yea s
added
to
the
accumulated
moistu e
deficit.
By
2021,
the
d ought
had
developed
i to
the
d iest
22-yea
pe iod
eco ded
i
the
eco st ucted
histo y
of
the
egio ,
eachi g
back
at
least
1,200
yea s.

Weste   US d ought  eaches a 1,200-yea  low, t ee  i gs  eveal<b >” msid=”133209043″ width=”” title=”” placeholde s c=”https://static.toiimg.com/photo/83033472.cms” imgsize=””  esizemode=”4″ offsetve tical=”0″ placeholde msid=”47529300″ type=”thumb” s c=”https://static.toiimg.com/photo/83033472.cms” class=”” data-s c=”https://static.toiimg.com/photo/msid-133209043/weste  -us-d ought- eaches-a-1200-yea -low-t ee- i gs- evealb .jpg” data-api-p e e de =”t ue”/></div>
</div>
<p><h3>
Heat<br />
a d<br />
climate<br />
cha ge<br />
deepe ed<br />
the<br />
weste<br />
US<br />
d ought</h3>
</p>
<p>A<br />
p olo ged<br />
sho tage<br />
of<br />
p ecipitatio<br />
might<br />
appea<br />
to<br />
be<br />
the<br />
obvious<br />
expla atio ,<br />
but<br />
the<br />
weste<br />
US<br />
megad ought<br />
has<br />
a othe<br />
impo ta t<br />
compo e t:<br />
heat.Highe<br />
tempe atu es<br />
i c ease<br />
evapo atio<br />
f om<br />
soil,<br />
lakes<br />
a d<br />
 ese voi s.<br />
Pla ts<br />
also<br />
lose<br />
wate<br />
mo e<br />
 apidly<br />
th ough<br />
t a spi atio .<br />
Whe<br />
this<br />
happe s<br />
ac oss<br />
a<br />
la ge<br />
 egio ,<br />
moistu e<br />
ca<br />
disappea<br />
faste<br />
eve<br />
whe<br />
 ai fall<br />
is<br />
 ot<br />
d amatically<br />
diffe e t<br />
f om<br />
p evious<br />
d y<br />
pe iods.That<br />
helped<br />
tu<br />
a<br />
 atu ally<br />
occu  i g<br />
d ought<br />
patte<br />
i to<br />
somethi g<br />
mo e<br />
seve e.<br />
Wo ld<br />
Eco omic<br />
Fo um<br />
 epo ts<br />
climate<br />
modelli g<br />
used<br />
i<br />
the<br />
 esea ch<br />
i dicated<br />
that<br />
huma -caused<br />
wa mi g<br />
accou ted<br />
fo<br />
about<br />
42%<br />
of<br />
the<br />
soil-moistu e<br />
deficit<br />
betwee<br />
2000<br />
a d<br />
2021.<br />
Fo<br />
2021<br />
alo e,<br />
the<br />
estimated<br />
co t ibutio<br />
was<br />
about<br />
19%.The<br />
figu es<br />
do<br />
 ot<br />
mea<br />
climate<br />
cha ge<br />
c eated<br />
the<br />
d ought<br />
f om<br />
 othi g.<br />
Natu al<br />
va iatio s<br />
i<br />
 ai fall<br />
a d<br />
atmosphe ic<br />
ci culatio<br />
 emai ed<br />
impo ta t.<br />
The<br />
wa mi g<br />
t e d<br />
i stead<br />
shifted<br />
the<br />
co ditio s<br />
i<br />
which<br />
the<br />
d ought<br />
u folded,<br />
maki g<br />
the<br />
same<br />
lack<br />
of<br />
p ecipitatio<br />
mo e<br />
damagi g.</p>
<p><h3>
Weste<br />
US<br />
d ought<br />
 aises<br />
wildfi e<br />
 isks<br />
as<br />
la dscapes<br />
d y<br />
out</h3>
</p>
<p>The<br />
effects<br />
have<br />
bee<br />
sp ead<br />
ac oss<br />
a<br />
b oad<br />
sectio<br />
of<br />
the<br />
Ame ica<br />
West,<br />
i cludi g<br />
states<br />
such<br />
as<br />
Califo  ia,<br />
A izo a<br />
a d<br />
Nevada.<br />
By<br />
Feb ua y<br />
2022,<br />
d ought<br />
mo ito i g<br />
showed<br />
that<br />
almost<br />
the<br />
e ti e<br />
 egio<br />
was<br />
expe ie ci g<br />
at<br />
least<br />
some<br />
deg ee<br />
of<br />
ab o mal<br />
d y ess<br />
o<br />
d ought.Repo tedly,<br />
about<br />
4%<br />
of<br />
the<br />
weste<br />
US<br />
was<br />
classified<br />
i<br />
the<br />
most<br />
seve e<br />
catego y,<br />
exceptio al<br />
d ought.<br />
Nea ly<br />
o e-fifth<br />
was<br />
expe ie ci g<br />
ext eme<br />
d ought,<br />
while<br />
 oughly<br />
two-fifths<br />
faced<br />
seve e<br />
d ought<br />
co ditio s.<br />
O ly<br />
a<br />
small<br />
sha e<br />
of<br />
the<br />
 egio<br />
was<br />
outside<br />
ab o mal<br />
d y ess<br />
o<br />
d ought<br />
classificatio s.Those<br />
catego ies<br />
 eflect<br />
mo e<br />
tha<br />
a<br />
d y-looki g<br />
la dscape.<br />
P olo ged<br />
soil<br />
moistu e<br />
losses<br />
affect<br />
ag icultu e,<br />
ecosystems,<br />
wate<br />
supplies<br />
a d<br />
the<br />
availability<br />
of<br />
moistu e<br />
fo<br />
vegetatio .<br />
They<br />
ca<br />
also<br />
leave<br />
fo ests<br />
a d<br />
othe<br />
pla t<br />
commu ities<br />
mo e<br />
vul e able<br />
du i g<br />
pe iods<br />
of<br />
ext eme<br />
heat.Wildfi e<br />
 isk<br />
is<br />
a othe<br />
pa t<br />
of<br />
the<br />
pictu e.<br />
D y<br />
vegetatio<br />
p ovides<br />
fuel,<br />
while<br />
hotte<br />
co ditio s<br />
ca<br />
make<br />
it<br />
easie<br />
fo<br />
fi es<br />
to<br />
sp ead<br />
a d<br />
bu<br />
with<br />
g eate<br />
i te sity.</p>
<div data-pos=
How climate cha ge is  eshapi g d ought a d othe  weathe  ext emes<b >” msid=”133209073″ width=”” title=”” placeholde s c=”https://static.toiimg.com/photo/83033472.cms” imgsize=””  esizemode=”4″ offsetve tical=”0″ placeholde msid=”47529300″ type=”thumb” s c=”https://static.toiimg.com/photo/83033472.cms” class=”” data-s c=”https://static.toiimg.com/photo/msid-133209073/how-climate-cha ge-is- eshapi g-d ought-a d-othe -weathe -ext emesb .jpg” data-api-p e e de =”t ue”/></div>
</div>
<p><h3>
How<br />
climate<br />
cha ge<br />
is<br />
 eshapi g<br />
d ought<br />
a d<br />
othe<br />
weathe<br />
ext emes</h3>
</p>
<p>The<br />
Wo ld<br />
Meteo ological<br />
O ga izatio<br />
 epo ted<br />
that<br />
the<br />
 umbe<br />
of<br />
disaste s<br />
associated<br />
with<br />
weathe ,<br />
climate<br />
a d<br />
wate<br />
haza ds<br />
had<br />
i c eased<br />
fivefold<br />
ove<br />
the<br />
p evious<br />
50<br />
yea s.<br />
Imp oveme ts<br />
i<br />
fo ecasti g,<br />
ea ly-wa  i g<br />
systems<br />
a d<br />
disaste<br />
ma ageme t<br />
have<br />
helped<br />
 educe<br />
deaths<br />
f om<br />
such<br />
eve ts,<br />
but<br />
the<br />
physical<br />
haza ds<br />
themselves<br />
have<br />
become<br />
a<br />
g owi g<br />
co ce  .D ought<br />
sits<br />
alo gside<br />
floods,<br />
sto ms<br />
a d<br />
ext eme<br />
heat<br />
withi<br />
that<br />
b oade<br />
pictu e.<br />
These<br />
eve ts<br />
do<br />
 ot<br />
all<br />
become<br />
mo e<br />
seve e<br />
i<br />
exactly<br />
the<br />
same<br />
way,<br />
a d<br />
local<br />
co ditio s<br />
still<br />
matte .<br />
But<br />
a<br />
wa me<br />
atmosphe e<br />
ca<br />
cha ge<br />
the<br />
amou t<br />
of<br />
wate<br />
available<br />
i<br />
diffe e t<br />
pa ts<br />
of<br />
the<br />
climate<br />
system,<br />
affecti g<br />
both<br />
u usually<br />
wet<br />
a d<br />
u usually<br />
d y<br />
pe iods.Fo<br />
the<br />
weste<br />
US,<br />
the<br />
megad ought<br />
illust ates<br />
how<br />
those<br />
cha ges<br />
ca<br />
i te act<br />
with<br />
 atu al<br />
climate<br />
va iability.</p>
<p><h3>
What<br />
comes<br />
 ext<br />
fo<br />
the<br />
West</h3>
</p>
<p>The<br />
2022<br />
assessme t<br />
suggested<br />
that<br />
d y<br />
co ditio s<br />
could<br />
pe sist<br />
beyo d<br />
a othe<br />
yea ,<br />
although<br />
the<br />
exact<br />
cou se<br />
of<br />
a<br />
d ought<br />
ca  ot<br />
be<br />
p edicted<br />
simply<br />
f om<br />
its<br />
p evious<br />
du atio .<br />
Natu al<br />
 ai fall<br />
patte  s<br />
ca<br />
still<br />
b i g<br />
pe iods<br />
of<br />
 ecove y.The<br />
lo ge -te m<br />
issue<br />
is<br />
ha de<br />
to<br />
dismiss.<br />
If<br />
tempe atu es<br />
co ti ue<br />
to<br />
 ise,<br />
futu e<br />
d oughts<br />
may<br />
begi<br />
with<br />
less<br />
soil<br />
moistu e<br />
a d<br />
lose<br />
wate<br />
mo e<br />
quickly.<br />
That<br />
 aises<br />
the<br />
possibility<br />
that<br />
co ditio s<br />
o ce<br />
co side ed<br />
exceptio ally<br />
d y<br />
could<br />
become<br />
mo e<br />
familia<br />
featu es<br />
of<br />
the<br />
 egio ‘s<br />
climate.</p>
<p><a h ef=Go to Sou ce

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