Trump is waging war based on instinct and it isn’t working

The Iranian regime is an obdurate, ruthless, well-organised adversary. Founded after the 1979 revolution that overthrew the Shah, it was then forged in the deadly misery of the eight-year war with Iraq. The regime is built on institutions, not individuals, and reinforced by iron-clad religious beliefs and an ideology of martyrdom. That means that killing leaders, while undoubtedly shocking and disruptive, does not also become a death sentence for the regime. After January’s killings, it will consider the deaths of many more Iranians, either at the hands of the regime’s own forces or American and Israeli bombs as an acceptable price of survival.

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