Ceasefire or no ceasefire, the Middle East’s reshuffling is not yet done

Hopes – expectations – that killing Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, in the war’s first wave of airstrikes would lead to the collapse of the regime were wildly misplaced. His son Mojtaba has not been seen since he was appointed as his successor. There is speculation that he was badly hurt in the attack that killed his parents, as well as reportedly his sister, his wife and one of his sons. With or without the active participation of the new supreme leader, Iran’s regime has demonstrated depths of resilience that took Trump by surprise.

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